Black Monday proves there’s no perfect moment to raise interest rates

Summary. Existing high levels of private debt mean there is little demand for more, and higher interest will drain more aggregate demand into debt service rather than real goods and services. Raising rates now will lead to cost push inflation and not demand pull inflation. Wealthy government bond holders could be pushing the Fed for a pay rise.

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In good times, we often see the notion "this time it’s different" work its way into the marketplace as investors seek to rationalize higher asset prices and continued upward movement. Today this sentiment is expressed in contexts ranging from questioning the prospect of a recession altogether to supporting the high valuations of tech companies despite their current profitless state.

On October 19th, 1987 markets around the world crashed at record speed, including a -20% loss in the S&P 500 Index, and a spike to over 150% in volatility. Many forget that Black Monday occurred during a booming stock market, economic expansion, and rising interest rates.

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Wall Street expects the Fed to raise interest rates by a quarter point at its meeting Dec. 13 to 14. But there is a potential surprise: The world may learn that the Fed wants to raise rates.

Black Monday proves there’s no perfect moment to raise interest rates . The Federal Reserve needs to be a little less, well, reserved. It needs to toughen up, raise interest rates and not apologize. As Shia LaBeouf should probably say, come at me, bips.

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FHA serious delinquency rate inches up while originations decline Rates Inch Further Into Long-Term Highs – Mortgage rates spiked to 7-year highs yesterday. While today’s move was nowhere near the same size. Ted Rood, Senior Originator Rates have been moving higher in a serious way due to headwinds that.

No one really expected stock markets to turn wobbly until there was a serious possibility that the US Federal Reserve was poised to raise interest rates for the first time in a decade. That moment is-or was-imminent.

Housing Prices Post Record Decline in Q2 Fed needs to go back to the drawing board Back to the drawing board with voter ID law – In an effort to avoid federal oversight of the state’s election laws, the Legislature passed a new voter ID law that largely codified changes ordered by the court. But the new law was halfhearted and.Freddie Mac: Mortgage rates once again drop to new yearly lows average mortgage rates hit a new 2014 low this week, even after a steep drop last week, according to the weekly Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey. The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell again to 3.92 percent from 3.97 percent last week-a 27-basis point drop from the beginning of October.Hidden housing neighborhoods you can afford in San Francisco and NYC Home-loan payoffs in Colorado fall to 5-year low Home-loan payoffs in Colorado fall to 5-year low – Pantelan real estate services increasing mortgage rates continued to fuel a steep decline in the number of home loans paid off in Colorado in the first quarter.San Francisco at Boiling Point’ Over Tech, Housing, Homeless – City supervisor sandra lee Fewer fought tears at a testy hearing over a housing density development bill. and is considering moving north because she can’t afford San Francisco. "We have homeless.Housing Market Predictions 2020 | 2019 Housing Outlook Sales. – Housing Sales slumped 8.5% from one year ago, the lowest sales since 2015. Prices still rose another 2.8% to a median of $247,500 nationwide. The real story was the drop in lower priced homes as depicted in this graphic from NAR. With low mortgage rates, it’s believed sales will once again grow. 60,000 more homes were on the market.